Report

MMM & Testing: Rivals, Friends, or Lovers

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Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) and testing can produce different answers to seemingly similar questions. When those answers influence major investment decisions, leaders need to know which evidence to trust and how the two methods should work together. 

Drawing on 9,480 real-world geography comparisons, two case studies, and survey responses from 455 senior Marketing, Finance, and Analytics leaders, this report examines whether MMM and testing create the most value as rivals, friends, or lovers. 

The findings show how organizations can use each method for what it does best, while avoiding forced agreement that can introduce instability or let narrow experimental results influence decisions beyond the conditions they measured. 

Key Report Findings:

  • Different Strengths, Better Decisions: Testing can investigate specific uncertainties, while MMM provides the broader commercial context needed for investment decisions.  
  • Commercial Context Improves the Signal: Across 9,480 geography comparisons, accounting for seasonality, economic conditions, and other commercial activity reduced variability around apparent lift by 49% and produced 66% more usable signals.
  • Integration Over Forced Agreement: The strongest relationship keeps MMM and testing analytically distinct while bringing their evidence together in planning and decision-making.

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